Norrköping 1-2 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.49
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
9%
5.63
X/2
9%
5.92
X/X
17%
4.88
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
20%
3.75
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.36
+24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.1 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hammarby
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.75 xG 1.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
04.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
05.09.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 4-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
22.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
13.03.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-2 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
03.10.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 3-1 HT 2-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-2
AWAY Hammarby
1.12 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
369 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby edged past Norrköping 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Hammarby made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Norrköping had 53% of the ball to Hammarby's 47%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.12 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Norrköping and 1.67 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Hammarby?

Norrköping 1-2 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 36%, draw 29%, Hammarby 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✗ Under 2.5
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