Djurgarden 2-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.81
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.47
X/2
8%
7.01
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.28
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.54
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
27.6 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
419 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.07.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-4 HT 0-3 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
04.06.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
29.08.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-1 HT 2-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
09.05.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
18.10.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-3 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
11.04.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
2-0
AWAY Elfsborg
1.25 xG 0.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
497 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden got the better of Elfsborg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Djurgarden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 61% of the ball to Elfsborg's 39%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.25 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Djurgarden and 1.50 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Elfsborg?

Djurgarden 2-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 40%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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