IFK Varnamo 1-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 26% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.58
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.5
X/2
16%
4.84
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
25%
3.03
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.85/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.12
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
15.0 Crosses 23.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 251
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
8 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
04.05.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
20.08.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
18.04.2017 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
21.09.2015 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
02.06.2015 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.31 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
342 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo and Brommapojkarna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brommapojkarna at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 48% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 52%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.31 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.17 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Brommapojkarna?

IFK Varnamo 1-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 28%, draw 23%, Brommapojkarna 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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