Hacken 3-1 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.41
2-3 Goals
35%
2.12
4-5 Goals
35%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.7
X/1
19%
3.87
X/2
10%
15.0
X/X
8%
7.91
2/1
8%
19.3
2/2
6%
10.05
2/X
7%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.92/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.78
+24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.9 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kalmar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 Passes 521
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
15.04.2023 Hacken Hacken 1-3 HT 0-2 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
12.09.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
15.05.2022 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
30.10.2021 Hacken Hacken 1-4 HT 0-3 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
12.07.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 2-3 HT 1-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
3-1
AWAY Kalmar
2.24 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
458 Passes 455
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
26 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken saw off Kalmar 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hacken as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Hacken had 50% of the ball to Kalmar's 50%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.24 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hacken and 2.00 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Kalmar?

Hacken 3-1 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hacken 55%, draw 23%, Kalmar 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hacken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hacken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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