Östers 0-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.12
1/2
6%
24.2
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
9%
7.16
X/2
19%
4.94
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
21%
2.89
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 49%
-22% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.06/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.39
-11% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
Crosses 19.4
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
Corners 6
15.03.2014 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇK
25.08.2013 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-4 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ
28.04.2013 Östers Östers 1-3 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
02.10.2006 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
14.04.2006 Östers Östers 3-4 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
0-1
AWAY Elfsborg
1.42 xG 2.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 9
462 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 42
21 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Östers vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg squeezed past Östers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Östers had 59% of the ball to Elfsborg's 41%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 1.42 to 2.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Elfsborg's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Östers and 2.20 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Östers vs Elfsborg?

Östers 0-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Östers 27%, draw 27%, Elfsborg 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
11 May 2025
15:00 AIK vs Mjallby Analysis →
15:00 Hammarby vs Norrköping Analysis →
17:30 Degerfors vs Malmö FF Analysis →