Magallanes 1-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magallanes EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.36
+13% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
242 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 83%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magallanes
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Palestino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.67 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
334 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2026 Palestino Palestino 4-1 HT 2-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİK
03.09.2023 Magallanes Magallanes 2-0 HT 2-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
01.04.2023 Palestino Palestino 3-2 HT 2-1 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magallanes
1-2
AWAY Palestino
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magallanes vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino edged past Magallanes 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Magallanes and 2.33 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Magallanes vs Palestino?

Magallanes 1-2 Palestino in the Chile - Cup on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magallanes vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Magallanes 26%, draw 22%, Palestino 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİLİK More Chile - Cup
4 Jul 2026
22:00 Union San Felipe vs Union La Calera Analysis →
23:00 San Luis De Quillota vs CD Everton Analysis →