Union San Felipe 1-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union San Felipe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 43%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.03/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.11
-29% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union San Felipe
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
21.06.2026 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-2 HT 0-1 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe ŞİLİK
27.08.2017 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 0-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİLİB
25.05.2014 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 3-1 HT 2-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİLİK
POST-MATCH Union San Felipe vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union San Felipe and Union La Calera couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union San Felipe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union San Felipe and 1.00 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Union San Felipe vs Union La Calera?

Union San Felipe 1-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Cup on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union San Felipe vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union San Felipe 34%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union La Calera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✓ Under 2.5
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