Manly United 1-0 SD Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Raiders EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.60/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.48
-12% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SD Raiders
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
21.03.2026 SD Raiders SD Raiders 3-1 HT 2-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs SD Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United nicked a narrow win over SD Raiders 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manly United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Manly United vs SD Raiders?

Manly United 1-0 SD Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs SD Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manly United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manly United 45%, draw 28%, SD Raiders 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manly United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manly United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
4 Jul 2026
07:00 Hume City vs Dandenong City Analysis →
07:30 Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions Analysis →
07:30 Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic Analysis →
08:00 Canberra White Eagles vs Cooma Tigers Analysis →
08:00 UNSW FC vs Sydney II Analysis →
08:00 Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney Olympic Analysis →