Ulverstone 2-1 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Jul 2026

Ulverstone
2-1 HT 0-0
Kingborough Lions
📅04/07/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-4 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2026

Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
9.57
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
79%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
1.0
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
36%
X/X
6%
2/1
2%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
10%
-2.2pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulverstone v Kingborough Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulverstone EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 97%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.23/4.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.36/0.78
+27% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
212 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.9

Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulverstone
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
The Meetings
11.04.2026 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 5-1 Ulverstone Ulverstone AVNPL
POST-MATCH Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulverstone nicked a narrow win over Kingborough Lions 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Kingborough Lions carried 79% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?

Ulverstone 2-1 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Ulverstone 8%, draw 13%, Kingborough Lions 79%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kingborough Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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