Kingborough Lions 5-1 Ulverstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
9%
8.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
57%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
13%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-3.0pp
9%
Draw
8%
+0.7pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulverstone EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Ulverstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions ran out comfortable winners over Ulverstone 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kingborough Lions as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Ulverstone?

Kingborough Lions 5-1 Ulverstone in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Ulverstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 82%, draw 9%, Ulverstone 9%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
11 Apr 2026
06:00 Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic Analysis →
07:00 Lambton Jaffas vs Weston Bears Analysis →
07:00 Newcastle Olympic vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →
07:30 Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights Analysis →
07:30 Canberra Olympic vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:00 Brindabella Blues vs Monaro Panthers Analysis →