Sturt Lions 1-0 Playford City Patriots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 4 Jul 2026

Sturt Lions
1-0 HT 0-0
Playford City Patriots
📅04/07/2026 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - NPL South – 2026

Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-11.8pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturt Lions v Playford City Patriots — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Playford City Patriots EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.62/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.01
-24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
287 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturt Lions
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Playford City Patriots
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
11.04.2026 Playford City Patriots 2-1 HT 0-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturt Lions squeezed past Playford City Patriots 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sturt Lions as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Sturt Lions 1-0 Playford City Patriots in the Australia - NPL South on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturt Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sturt Lions 43%, draw 22%, Playford City Patriots 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturt Lions) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturt Lions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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