Playford City Patriots 2-1 Sturt Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Playford City Patriots EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.65/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.17
+47% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Playford City Patriots nicked a narrow win over Sturt Lions 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 20% / 39% — and on the day Playford City Patriots made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?

Playford City Patriots 2-1 Sturt Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Playford City Patriots win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Playford City Patriots 41%, draw 20%, Sturt Lions 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Playford City Patriots), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Playford City Patriots) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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