Ansan Greeners 1-3 Suwon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
57%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
57%
Away Win
56%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon FC EU Bookmakers 60%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.56
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
12.8 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Suwon FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.58 xG 1.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
283 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2020 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-4 HT 0-1 Suwon FC GKOR2
01.08.2020 Suwon FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
16.05.2020 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-1 Suwon FC GKOR2
03.11.2019 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-0 Suwon FC GKOR2
17.08.2019 Suwon FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
16.09.2018 Suwon FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-3
AWAY Suwon FC
10 Total Shots 27
6 Shots on Target 8
276 Passes 490
5 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Suwon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon FC got the better of Ansan Greeners 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suwon FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 10-27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ansan Greeners and 2.00 for Suwon FC.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Suwon FC?

Ansan Greeners 1-3 Suwon FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Suwon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 23%, draw 20%, Suwon FC 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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