Cruzeiro 2-0 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 20%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
440 Passes 195
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
21.03.2014 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-2 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting LKU
12.03.2014 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-0
AWAY Defensor Sporting
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Cruzeiro vs Defensor Sporting
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cruzeiro beat Defensor Sporting 2-0 in the Friendlies on 4 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 57% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 43%, shots finished 19-6.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting lead the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruzeiro and 2.00 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Defensor Sporting?

Cruzeiro 2-0 Defensor Sporting in the Friendlies on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 59%, draw 20%, Defensor Sporting 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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