Richmond Kickers 0-0 Sarasota Paradise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.14/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.29
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.7 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
0-0
AWAY Sarasota Paradise
0.30 xG 1.07
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 7
239 Passes 474
12 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.30 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?

Richmond Kickers 0-0 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 36%, draw 28%, Sarasota Paradise 36%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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