Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naples v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals
Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Naples 2-3 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine edged past Naples 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Naples at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.63 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portland Hearts of Pine's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Portland Hearts of Pine led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Naples and 1.33 for Portland Hearts of Pine.
What was the final score of Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Naples 2-3 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naples 45%, draw 27%, Portland Hearts of Pine 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naples) went the other way.