Portland Hearts of Pine vs Naples Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Hearts of Pine v Naples — Team-Based Signals
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Naples Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Naples — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine and Naples couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Portland Hearts of Pine at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 42% of the ball to Naples's 58%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.20 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portland Hearts of Pine had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portland Hearts of Pine and 0.50 for Naples.
What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Naples?
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Naples?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 43%, draw 27%, Naples 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine), BTTS No went the other way.