Richmond Kickers 2-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.14/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.97
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.6 Crosses 19.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 Passes 286
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-4 HT 1-3 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
10.04.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
03.11.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.10.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
25.08.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-0 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
10.09.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
2-1
AWAY Union Omaha
1.47 xG 2.09
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
181 Passes 468
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers squeezed past Union Omaha 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 34% of the ball to Union Omaha's 66%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.47 to 2.09 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Omaha.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.50 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha?

Richmond Kickers 2-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 31%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5
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