Union Omaha 3-4 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.66/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.46
+15% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.7 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.43 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 295
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.04.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
03.11.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.10.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
25.08.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-0 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
10.09.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
09.07.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-1 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
3-4
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.90 xG 1.69
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
404 Passes 113
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
30 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers nicked a narrow win over Union Omaha 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 71% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 29%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.90 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Omaha and 0.50 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?

Union Omaha 3-4 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 50%, draw 25%, Richmond Kickers 25%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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