Union Omaha 3-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.61/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.52
+11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.2 Crosses 14.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
09.07.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-1 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.05.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
15.09.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-3 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
28.08.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
15.05.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
3-0
AWAY Richmond Kickers
2.05 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
247 Passes 366
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha swept aside Richmond Kickers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Union Omaha had 42% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 58%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.05 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Omaha and 1.50 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?

Union Omaha 3-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 49%, draw 26%, Richmond Kickers 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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