Lexington 0-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -23%
1.41/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.26
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.7 Crosses 16.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.89 xG 2.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
396 Passes 388
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 4-1 HT 3-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
01.10.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-2 HT 0-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
23.06.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 3-2 HT 3-1 Lexington Lexington USL1
09.04.2023 Lexington Lexington 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
0-0
AWAY Forward Madison
0.75 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
384 Passes 359
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington and Forward Madison played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lexington had 50% of the ball to Forward Madison's 50%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lexington and 2.25 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Forward Madison?

Lexington 0-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lexington 34%, draw 26%, Forward Madison 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
25 Aug 2024
01:00 Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego Analysis →
03:00 Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →