Forward Madison vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forward Madison v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Forward Madison vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Lexington
USL1
3-2
HT 3-1
Lexington
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Forward Madison
USL1
Forward Madison 4-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Forward Madison cruised past Lexington 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Forward Madison had 51% of the ball to Lexington's 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 3.69 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forward Madison and 1.33 for Lexington.
What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Lexington?
Forward Madison 4-1 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 50%, draw 23%, Lexington 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.