Forward Madison vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Forward Madison v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Forward Madison vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Forward Madison 4-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Forward Madison made light work of Lexington 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Forward Madison's favour, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 3.69 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Forward Madison against 1.33 for Lexington.
Forward Madison vs Lexington Result & Final Score
Forward Madison 4 - 1 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Forward Madison vs Lexington Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 58%, draw 22%, Lexington 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.