Greenville Triumph 1-3 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.59/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.04
+0% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.6 Crosses 23.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
225 Passes 295
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 2-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
22.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 5-1 HT 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
07.08.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 5-1 HT 2-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
29.05.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
30.04.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
1-3
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
3.82 xG 2.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
441 Passes 255
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves beat Greenville Triumph 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greenville Triumph at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 61% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 39%, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 3.82 to 2.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Greenville Triumph.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.50 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Greenville Triumph 1-3 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 51%, draw 25%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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