One Knoxville 1-2 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-12.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+0% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.4 Crosses 14.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
07.10.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-2 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
25.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-2
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.88 xG 1.13
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 176
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers nicked a narrow win over One Knoxville 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Richmond Kickers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, One Knoxville had 68% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 32%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.88 to 1.13 — on chances, One Knoxville could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for One Knoxville and 1.67 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?

One Knoxville 1-2 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 36%, draw 28%, Richmond Kickers 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
2 Jun 2024
01:00 Forward Madison vs Lexington Analysis →
23:00 Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →