Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Richmond Kickers v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals
Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Richmond Kickers
USL1
4-1
HT 1-1
Richmond Kickers
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Union Omaha
USL1
Richmond Kickers 1-0 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics
Richmond Kickers squeezed past Union Omaha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Richmond Kickers had 45% of the ball to Union Omaha's 55%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.99 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.67 for Union Omaha.
What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha?
Richmond Kickers 1-0 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 34%, draw 23%, Union Omaha 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.