Greenville Triumph 0-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.81
-19% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.0 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
4W-1D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-3 HT 0-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville ABDK
02.11.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
28.07.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
23.06.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-3 HT 1-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph ABDK
17.09.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
0-1
AWAY One Knoxville
1.13 xG 1.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
351 Passes 216
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville nicked a narrow win over Greenville Triumph 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; One Knoxville found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 58% of the ball to One Knoxville's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.13 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.00 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Greenville Triumph 0-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 40%, draw 25%, One Knoxville 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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