Greenville Triumph 2-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.37/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.76
-20% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +77%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.7 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
4W-1D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
345 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
23.06.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-3 HT 1-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph ABDK
17.09.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
16.07.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
21.05.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-2 HT 1-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
2-1
AWAY One Knoxville
1.06 xG 2.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
371 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph squeezed past One Knoxville 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 53% of the ball to One Knoxville's 47%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.06 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured One Knoxville.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenville Triumph and 0.67 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Greenville Triumph 2-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 43%, draw 28%, One Knoxville 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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