One Knoxville 0-2 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.10/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.53
-18% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.8 Crosses 17.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-3 HT 1-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph ABDK
17.09.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
16.07.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
21.05.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-2 HT 1-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
0-2
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.87 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
307 Passes 437
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph saw off One Knoxville 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Greenville Triumph made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, One Knoxville had 43% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 57%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.87 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 1.50 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?

One Knoxville 0-2 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 37%, draw 30%, Greenville Triumph 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (One Knoxville), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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