Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-2 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.8pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.19/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.24
+34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.9 Crosses 12.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Tormenta
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.99 xG 1.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 4-0 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
27.08.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-4 HT 2-2 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
16.07.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 4-2 HT 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
06.05.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-2 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
07.11.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 2-1 HT 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
16.10.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 2-0 HT 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
3-2
AWAY Tormenta
1.36 xG 2.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
361 Passes 208
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves edged past Tormenta 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Chattanooga Red Wolves made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 60% of the ball to Tormenta's 40%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.36 to 2.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tormenta.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tormenta led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 3.00 for Tormenta.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Tormenta?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-2 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 33%, draw 30%, Tormenta 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tormenta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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