Greenville Triumph 1-3 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.97/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.83
-34% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
23.0 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
5W-1D-0L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
28.07.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
23.06.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-3 HT 1-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph ABDK
17.09.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
16.07.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
1-3
AWAY One Knoxville
3.52 xG 1.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
353 Passes 183
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville beat Greenville Triumph 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; One Knoxville found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 63% of the ball to One Knoxville's 37%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 3.52 to 1.19 — on chances, Greenville Triumph could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenville Triumph and 0.50 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Greenville Triumph 1-3 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 32%, draw 31%, One Knoxville 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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