Naples 3-0 Little Rock Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Little Rock Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
3-0
AWAY Little Rock Rangers
1.32 xG 0.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
356 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naples vs Little Rock Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples ran out comfortable winners over Little Rock Rangers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naples had 53% of the ball to Little Rock Rangers's 47%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.32 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Naples vs Little Rock Rangers?

Naples 3-0 Little Rock Rangers in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Little Rock Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naples 41%, draw 27%, Little Rock Rangers 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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