Forward Madison 1-3 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
1-3
AWAY FC Tulsa
2.56 xG 2.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
354 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa beat Forward Madison 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Forward Madison at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 57% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.56 to 2.26.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs FC Tulsa?

Forward Madison 1-3 FC Tulsa in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 43%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forward Madison) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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