Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
1-1
AWAY Hartford Athletic
0.99 xG 1.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
405 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine and Hartford Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 53% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 47%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 0.99 to 1.95.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Hartford Athletic?

Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Hartford Athletic in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 35%, draw 30%, Hartford Athletic 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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