Loudoun United 4-2 Virginia Dream — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
79%
-13.9pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.9pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Virginia Dream EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +87% / +87%
2.48/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.87
+98% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +148%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
465 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.0 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
4-2
AWAY Virginia Dream
2.73 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
433 Passes 239
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Virginia Dream
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United got the better of Virginia Dream 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Loudoun United as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Loudoun United had 59% of the ball to Virginia Dream's 41%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.73 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Virginia Dream?

Loudoun United 4-2 Virginia Dream in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Virginia Dream?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 65%, draw 19%, Virginia Dream 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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