Union Omaha 1-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.82/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.48
+1% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.4 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
274 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
25.08.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-0 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
10.09.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
09.07.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-1 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.05.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
15.09.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-3 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
1-0
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.70 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
275 Passes 263
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha nicked a narrow win over Richmond Kickers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Omaha had 51% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 49%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.70 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Omaha and 0.83 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?

Union Omaha 1-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 47%, draw 27%, Richmond Kickers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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