Northern Colorado 0-3 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.07/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.81
+23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.9 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Colorado
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 0.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
414 Passes 396
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.10.2024 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 1-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
24.03.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 1-0 HT 1-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Colorado
0-3
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.54 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
326 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 28
34 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Northern Colorado vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity swept aside Northern Colorado 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Northern Colorado at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Northern Colorado had 52% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 48%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.54 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Northern Colorado and 0.50 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs Spokane Velocity?

Northern Colorado 0-3 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 59%, draw 23%, Spokane Velocity 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Northern Colorado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✓ Over 2.5
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