Northern Colorado 1-0 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.12/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.94
+31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
20.1 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Colorado
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.03.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 1-0 HT 1-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Colorado
1-0
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.30 xG 0.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
414 Passes 396
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Northern Colorado vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Colorado squeezed past Spokane Velocity 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Northern Colorado as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Northern Colorado had 50% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 50%, shots finished 9-2, expected goals 1.30 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs Spokane Velocity?

Northern Colorado 1-0 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 56%, draw 25%, Spokane Velocity 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Colorado) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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