Tormenta 2-3 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.00
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
13.2 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.95 xG 1.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-2 HT 2-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
08.10.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 0-4 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
30.07.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-2 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
25.06.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-0 HT 2-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
09.10.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
26.06.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 2-3 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
2-3
AWAY Union Omaha
0.15 xG 2.16
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 30
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 10
151 Passes 462
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 68
6 Crosses 48
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha nicked a narrow win over Tormenta 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tormenta had 30% of the ball to Union Omaha's 70%, shots finished 5-30, expected goals 0.15 to 2.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Omaha's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tormenta and 2.83 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Union Omaha?

Tormenta 2-3 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 31%, draw 28%, Union Omaha 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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