Forward Madison 0-0 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
15%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.91
-31% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +97%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.4 Crosses 17.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
0W-3D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.26 xG 0.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
350 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.10.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-2 HT 1-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
04.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
0-0
AWAY One Knoxville
0.97 xG 0.21
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
463 Passes 221
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison and One Knoxville fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Forward Madison had 65% of the ball to One Knoxville's 35%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.97 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, One Knoxville led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Forward Madison and 0.75 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

Forward Madison 0-0 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 40%, draw 34%, One Knoxville 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forward Madison) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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