Richmond Kickers 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Oct 2024

Richmond Kickers
2-1 HT 1-1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Richmond Kickers v Chattanooga Red Wolves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.50/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.54
+12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.7 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
13.08.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-2 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
02.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
04.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-0 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
30.10.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
18.09.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1

Richmond Kickers 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
2-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.90 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
17 Corners 2
298 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers squeezed past Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Richmond Kickers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 54% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 46%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.90 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.50 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Richmond Kickers 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 48%, draw 28%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richmond Kickers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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