Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Jul 2024

Chattanooga Red Wolves
3-1 HT 2-1
Richmond Kickers
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chattanooga Red Wolves v Richmond Kickers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.20/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.15
+40% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.8 Crosses 21.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.75 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-2 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
02.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
04.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-0 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
30.10.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
18.09.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
02.06.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-0 HT 3-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 Richmond Kickers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
3-1
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.60 xG 2.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
286 Passes 379
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves got the better of Richmond Kickers 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chattanooga Red Wolves found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 44% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 56%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.60 to 2.52 — on chances, Richmond Kickers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Richmond Kickers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.67 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 36%, draw 28%, Richmond Kickers 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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