One Knoxville 1-0 Northern Colorado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 48%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.29
-32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.3 Crosses 16.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Northern Colorado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.79
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.06.2024 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 2-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
12.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-4 HT 1-2 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
11.06.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
14.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 0-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-0
AWAY Northern Colorado
0.84 xG 1.48
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
294 Passes 485
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Northern Colorado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville squeezed past Northern Colorado 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; One Knoxville found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, One Knoxville had 39% of the ball to Northern Colorado's 61%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.84 to 1.48 — on chances, Northern Colorado could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 2.00 for Northern Colorado.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Northern Colorado?

One Knoxville 1-0 Northern Colorado in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Northern Colorado?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 31%, draw 30%, Northern Colorado 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Northern Colorado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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