Greenville Triumph 0-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Jul 2024

Greenville Triumph
0-1 HT 0-0
Union Omaha
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenville Triumph v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.47/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.05
-12% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.8 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 306
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
11.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
25.05.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-3 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
18.09.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.07.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
19.06.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-2 HT 0-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past Greenville Triumph 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Union Omaha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.17 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha?

Greenville Triumph 0-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 33%, draw 29%, Union Omaha 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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