Union Omaha 4-2 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.60/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
+6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.2 Crosses 12.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tormenta
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.60 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 0-4 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
30.07.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-2 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
25.06.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-0 HT 2-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
09.10.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
26.06.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 2-3 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
17.04.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
4-2
AWAY Tormenta
1.89 xG 2.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 11
267 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha saw off Tormenta 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 47% of the ball to Tormenta's 53%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 1.89 to 2.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tormenta.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Union Omaha and 0.83 for Tormenta.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Tormenta?

Union Omaha 4-2 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 48%, draw 24%, Tormenta 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
5 May 2024
02:00 Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →