Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forward Madison v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Forward Madison
USL1
4-1
HT 2-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
2-2
HT 1-1
Forward Madison
USL1
3-2
HT 1-1
Greenville Triumph
USL1
Forward Madison 3-2 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics
Forward Madison squeezed past Greenville Triumph 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Forward Madison made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Forward Madison had 52% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 48%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.76 to 1.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forward Madison and 1.17 for Greenville Triumph.
What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?
Forward Madison 3-2 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?
Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 37%, draw 31%, Greenville Triumph 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.