Greenville Triumph 0-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.38/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.38
-17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.1 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
309 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
02.07.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
16.04.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 4-1 HT 2-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.09.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
12.06.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 3-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.05.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-0 HT 2-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph and Forward Madison played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Greenville Triumph at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.67 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?

Greenville Triumph 0-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 45%, draw 27%, Forward Madison 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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