One Knoxville 2-0 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.26
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
19.2 Crosses 18.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lexington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.93 xG 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 Passes 393
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 0-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
28.05.2023 Lexington Lexington 1-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
2-0
AWAY Lexington
0.84 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
357 Passes 233
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville beat Lexington 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day One Knoxville made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, One Knoxville had 58% of the ball to Lexington's 42%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.84 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 0.50 for Lexington.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Lexington?

One Knoxville 2-0 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 39%, draw 33%, Lexington 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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