Forward Madison 2-0 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Nov 2024

Forward Madison
2-0 HT 1-0
Charlotte Independence
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.50/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.72
-36% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.8 Crosses 13.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.21 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 Passes 362
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-4 HT 1-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
15.08.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
24.09.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-0 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
30.04.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
06.08.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
27.06.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 6-2 HT 3-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1

Forward Madison 2-0 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
2-0
AWAY Charlotte Independence
2.40 xG 0.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
400 Passes 392
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison got the better of Charlotte Independence 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 49% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 51%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.40 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forward Madison and 1.67 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence?

Forward Madison 2-0 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 51%, draw 21%, Charlotte Independence 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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