Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Forward Madison
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Forward Madison
USL1
6-2
HT 3-1
Forward Madison
USL1
1-2
HT 0-1
Charlotte Independence
USL1
Charlotte Independence 2-4 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics
Forward Madison beat Charlotte Independence 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Forward Madison found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 46% of the ball to Forward Madison's 54%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 1.04 to 1.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Charlotte Independence and 0.50 for Forward Madison.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Charlotte Independence 2-4 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 31%, draw 33%, Forward Madison 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.