Greenville Triumph vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greenville Triumph v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Greenville Triumph vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Lexington
USL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Greenville Triumph
USL1
Greenville Triumph 2-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Greenville Triumph nicked a narrow win over Lexington 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Greenville Triumph had 49% of the ball to Lexington's 51%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.90 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.00 for Lexington.
What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Lexington?
Greenville Triumph 2-1 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 56%, draw 22%, Lexington 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.